Topic: UFC 296

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington

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Tapology
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06.01.2023 | 10:16 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 296
  • Saturday 12.16.2023 at 06:30 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $9,300,000
  • Attendance: 19,039
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Leon Edwards   defeats   Colby Covington   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Alexandre Pantoja   defeats   Brandon Royval   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Shavkat Rakhmonov   defeats   Stephen Thompson   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:56 Round 2 of 3, 9:56 Total Bout Page
Paddy Pimblett   defeats   Tony Ferguson   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Josh Emmett   defeats   Bryce Mitchell   via KO/TKO, Overhand Right   1:57 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Alonzo Menifield   defeats   Dustin Jacoby   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Irene Aldana   defeats   Karol Rosa   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Cody Garbrandt   defeats   Brian Kelleher   via KO/TKO, Counter Right   3:42 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Ariane Lipski   defeats   Casey O'Neill   via Submission, Armbar   1:18 Round 2 of 3, 6:18 Total Bout Page
Tagir Ulanbekov   defeats   Cody Durden   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:25 Round 2 of 3, 9:25 Total Bout Page
Andre Fili   defeats   Lucas Almeida   via KO/TKO, Right Hook to Ground Strikes   3:32 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Shamil Gaziev   defeats   Martin Buday   via KO/TKO, Elbows and Punches (standing TKO)   0:56 Round 2 of 3, 5:56 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 19

AustinLaxton
AustinLaxton
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12.11.2023 | 3:32 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 570 Points   |   Tied for 1191st

Edwards vs. Covington
Leon Edwards, TKO, R4
It’s so hard to predict Colby fights because he doesn’t fight a lot, and when he does it’s usually after he’s gotten 1 year+ to study his opponents game or his opponent has just been so far over the hill it doesn’t matter. I personally don’t think Colby has the power in his hands to hurt Leon and I don’t think he has the wrestling to hold Leon down in dominant positions. Colby has Magic cardio but I personally thought Colby looked tired in both Usman fights. He also tends to get hurt really bad when hit clean. I would like to see Colby with the WW Title but I just feel like his time may be over

Pantoja vs. Royval II
Alexandre Pantoja, SUB, R2
I got Pantoja by submission but this could go either way. Everyone should be expecting a FLYWEIGHT WAR!!

Rakhmonov vs. Thompson
Shavkat Rakhmonov, DEC
Shavkat is 17-0 with 17 finishes. If he can’t catch Wonderboy with one shot I believe this will be Shavkat’s 1st Decision win

Ferguson vs. Pimblett
Paddy Pimblett, SUB, R3
If Tony loses here it’s time for the UFC to save Tony from himself. If Bobby Green is able to sub 39 year old Tony then I believe Paddy will be able to as well

Luque vs. Machado Garry
Ian Machado Garry, TKO, R2
I can see Garry dominating this bout, but I could also see Garry getting chinned early & finished or getting chinned after dominating a round and it going to a split

Garbrandt vs. Kelleher
Cody Garbrandt, TKO, R2
I got Cody but this fight just doesn’t make much sense other than getting Cody a winnable fight to help build his confidence.

Gaziev vs. Buday
Shamil Gaziev, TKO, R1
Heavyweight MMA at this mid tier level is hard to predict. I’ll probably go back & forth on this one a couple times

"I CANT LET YOU GET CLOSE!"

Joshjeffords
Joshjeffords
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12.11.2023 | 3:44 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 3727th

"“I took no damage,” Hill said. “Most of the fall was me falling down"

gliese58i
gliese58i
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12.11.2023 | 3:59 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 3971st

Josh Emmett has a good stylistic matchup here but he's been training for a completely different style in Giga so this 10-days short notice is probably more against him than for him assuming Mitchell has been training like he should.

It's also the 3rd fight in 10 months for Emmett who took a beating in his last 2 and especially the last one against Topuria. He was asking his corner after round 3 what round it was in that one, then went out and got brutalized for another 10 minutes. I'm surprised he was cleared to fight less than 6 months after that one actually as I frequently see fighters being barred from competition for 6 months after getting beat up. He's also 38 years and 9 months old. 

Kinda tough to make a pick here for me as I think Mitchell is pretty awful on the feet and somewhat chinny and Emmett throws with serious power. I don't give much for Emmett's wrestling though any more than I do for Gaethje's wrestling.
I don't care if a fighter was the best wrestler in the world in college or whatever. If they go on to not use it for a decade+ in MMA where you never really wrestle anyhow (you MMA wrestle which is a different discipline), then it doesn't count.
Especially for someone with a ****** 46% TDD like Emmett's which hasn't even had any outlier fights where he got taken down over and over where it was really mat-returns. That kinda thing can skew the number and is sometimes the case, but not for Emmett.

* Edited at 12.11.2023, 4:00 PM ET *

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

DaWarBoss
DaWarBoss
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12.11.2023 | 4:20 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 3727th

@VicStrk 
Royval has a chance for sub, Pantoja has more ways to win, and he is better at them. I pick Pantoja.

I like that Royval is getting a shot here though, he will not waste it, good underdawg.

* Edited at 12.11.2023, 4:33 PM ET *

DaWarBoss
DaWarBoss
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12.11.2023 | 4:25 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 3727th

@gliese58i 
If what Mr. Lamonnaise says is true, then it will be O'Neil Sub instead of TKO, you may be right about Lipski, she has looked better, but King beats Queen.
Dstone
Dstone
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12.11.2023 | 5:10 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 4379th

These odds are so far off why is muslim salikhov a big under dog over randy brown 💀 this fight is a coin flip imo

"ZAZAAAAA"

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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12.11.2023 | 5:27 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 2636th

@gilese not to mention Emmett kills himself to make weight every time. No idea how he hasn’t missed recently. He also has to be made of something different than everyone else; I saw him doing an interview not that long after the ilia fight & there wasn’t a single mark on his face. Regardless of that, there’s just no way his body hasn’t been destroyed these past two fights 

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

DamienHandel420
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12.11.2023 | 5:36 PM ET

Dstone

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 4379th

Because Muslim Salkhov is 40 year old and people like the younger fighter, Honestly, picking Randy, but I think he has low fight IQ and that usually makes fights closer then they should be

Also, pretty crazy that this fight is the curtain jerker, This card has so many names on it

* Edited at 12.11.2023, 5:40 PM ET *

"Quack quack quack"

bones1039
bones1039
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12.11.2023 | 5:46 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 3423rd

Luque vs. Machado Garry
Ian Machado Garry, TKO, R3
sadly

bones1039
bones1039
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12.11.2023 | 5:46 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 3423rd

Ferguson vs. Pimblett
Paddy Pimblett, SUB, R3
praying for a tony win **** the picks

bones1039
bones1039
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12.11.2023 | 5:48 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 455 Points   |   Tied for 3423rd

Emmett vs. Mitchell
Josh Emmett, TKO, R3
don't show your age emmett

Garbrandt vs. Kelleher
Cody Garbrandt, TKO, R2
cody don't get caught

StyleBenderPicks
StyleBenderPicks
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12.11.2023 | 6:22 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2700th

Pantoja vs. Royval II
Alexandre Pantoja, SUB, R4
Royval can easily become champ here he’s got the perfect style to be the first to finish pantoja both men have 50/50 chance to get the sub

Rakhmonov vs. Thompson
Shavkat Rakhmonov, SUB, R2
Wonderboy forgot to age man still fighting like a 30 year old and Shavkat’s has always shown a weakness to karate if he wins I think his style is flawless and unbeatable

Emmett vs. Mitchell
Bryce Mitchell, DEC
This is Emmett’s last chance to become champion if he loses he will never be able to get the belt

" “My hands don’t discriminate.” -Israel Adesanya"

Acguy
Acguy
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12.11.2023 | 6:45 PM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 415 Points   |   Tied for 4129th

Tony's last fight he was throwing punches in slow motion. It's sad to see him being used to pad fighter's careers
Sidomavicius
Sidomavicius
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12.11.2023 | 7:16 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2813th

Gaziev vs. Buday
Shamil Gaziev, TKO, R1
Buday has fought the lowest competition that the heavyweight division can offer and has 1 finish in 4 fights. Hes a solid fighter but this will be a big, big challenge for him. Buday is not going to be able to walk down Gaziev like he did to those smaller heavyweighgts. I think Gaziev trains at a better team, has better wrestling, and more power in his punches. Buday tends to keep his chin way up in the air when he comes forward. I see him getting clipped by a left hook or an overhand while coming in. Nobody Buday has fought has had the power to test his chin like Gaziev will. I dont see Buday finishing Gaziev anywhere.

"Kindness is a universal language regardless of age, nationality or religion” — Sir Alex Ferguson"

Latrel Dog
Latrel Dog
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12.11.2023 | 7:36 PM ET

@VicStrk

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 465 Points   |   Tied for 3191st

I think Lipski is gonna win this one. Casey fought a stand-up fight against Maia last time, and I'd say that she's gonna do the same against Lipski.

Ariane has really evolved since she started training with Nunes, as Gliese already said. If there are some takedowns from Casey, I guess Lipski is gonna be able to stuff at least most of it. 

On the feet, it's Lispki all night long. It's WMMA, I know, but I'm very confident about her. 
Kniferusty
Kniferusty
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12.11.2023 | 8:31 PM ET

Predictions: 2 of 3 Winners, 1 Perfect, 150 Points   |   Tied for 6049th

Just realized this card has for the most part held together with barely any cancellations.
Nice

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tkr8600
tkr8600
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12.11.2023 | 8:47 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 630 Points   |   Tied for 403rd

Pantoja vs. Royval II
Alexandre Pantoja, SUB, R1
I see this going more or less the same as the last one & even quicker than the last.

Rakhmonov vs. Thompson
Shavkat Rakhmonov, SUB, R3
This is gonna be hard to watch isn't it? To Wonderboy's credit, I see this going to at least the middle-to-late part of the 2nd RD, but since Thompson is a step-up in competition for Shavkat, I see this being not as easy and we may even end up see him getting DEC dubs from here on out as competition gets tougher.

Luque vs. Machado Garry
Vicente Luque, TKO, R1
Idk why, but I have a sneaking suspicion that the MMA Gods shall grace us & I see Garry getting put out by Luque in this fight. Could I be eating my words come Sunday? Very much so, but I'll take my chances. Luque also has a lot of underrated 1st RD finishes in his career and I just feel like he has more ways to win here than Garry. Luque's def gonna be the hardest hitter Ian is have going to faced come Dec 16th. & I believe all that talkin' is gonna hit back hard

Emmett vs. Mitchell
Bryce Mitchell, DEC
I could see Emmett completely shutting Bryce's lights out w/ a vicious hook & although I def think he will drop him at least once this bout (via an overhand) I think Bryce is gonna be able to ride this out to a DEC win due to control time.

Aldana vs. Rosa
Irene Aldana, DEC
Understandably after her last performance, a lot of people sleeping on Aldana's chances here or even caring at all. I think she's still got it, and def has a chance of claiming that belt with the division's queen vacating and leaving that #1 spot wide open for the taking.

Garbrandt vs. Kelleher
Cody Garbrandt, TKO, R1
Let's goooo Codyyy!!

O'Neill vs. Lipski
Casey O'Neill, DEC
Pretty back & forth. Wouldn't be surprised to see either take the win here, but I think this is where O'Neill has the chance to jump back on the WMMA hype train once again.

Menifield vs. Jacoby
Alonzo Menifield, TKO, R1
Jacoby is waaayy more tactical w/ his striking, but Menifield has the power to shake up his train of thought and second guess himself after a good shot or two. Espcially if he lands those brutal calf kicks on the long legs of Jacoby. A lot of people sleeping on Alonzo here ; I don't mind his chances tbh

Ulanbekov vs. Durden
Tagir Ulanbekov, DEC
Def a DEC here. This'll decide how the lower end of the rankings will go.

Fili vs. Almeida
Andre Fili, DEC
Decent scrap here.

Gaziev vs. Buday
Shamil Gaziev, TKO, R1
Shamil's puttin' buddies lights out & quickly too.

Brown vs. Salikhov
Randy Brown, DEC
All the homies love some Randy Brown action, especially on a stacked card like this. I see a pretty competitive DEC here tho. 29-28 or SPLIT.

"We Fall, But We Get Up Because The Ground Is No Place For A Champion." - Dustin Poirier

ExpertAnalyst
ExpertAnalyst
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12.11.2023 | 8:48 PM ET

Tony Ferguson vs Paddy Pimblett

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 390 Points   |   Tied for 4482nd

@Acguy 
It's a good fight for Tony too not just Paddy, winnable fight with a big name for  both of them. I would rather have Tony fight Paddy who hasn't looked great in any fights so far in the UFC, than someone like a Jalin Turner.
boya_UFC
boya_UFC
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12.11.2023 | 9:05 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 530 Points   |   Tied for 1916th

Luque vs. Machado Garry
Ian Machado Garry, TKO, R1
"The Future" ALL DAY ALL NIGHT

Emmett vs. Mitchell
Bryce Mitchell, SUB, R1
Take down and KILL

Aldana vs. Rosa
Irene Aldana, DEC
Irene so good

Garbrandt vs. Kelleher
Cody Garbrandt, TKO, R3
No Love let's gooooo

O'Neill vs. Lipski
Casey O'Neill, DEC
King !!

Menifield vs. Jacoby
Dustin Jacoby, TKO, R1
Easy matchup for Jacoby

Ulanbekov vs. Durden
Tagir Ulanbekov, DEC
Tagir for W

Calfoth
Calfoth
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12.11.2023 | 9:11 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 600 Points   |   Tied for 765th

@Kniferusty 
don’t ******* jinx it man… you shouldn’t have said anything 

"POUND FOR POUND, HEADSHOT, DEAD - Leon Edwards "

Page 19


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