Topic: UFC 296

UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington

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Tapology
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06.01.2023 | 10:16 PM ET

The official Tapology discussion thread for the event!
UFC 296
  • Saturday 12.16.2023 at 06:30 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: T-Mobile Arena
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada, United States
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Joe Rogan, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Joe Rogan
  • Ticket Revenue (live gate): $9,300,000
  • Attendance: 19,039
  • MMA Bouts: 12
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Leon Edwards   defeats   Colby Covington   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Alexandre Pantoja   defeats   Brandon Royval   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
Shavkat Rakhmonov   defeats   Stephen Thompson   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:56 Round 2 of 3, 9:56 Total Bout Page
Paddy Pimblett   defeats   Tony Ferguson   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Josh Emmett   defeats   Bryce Mitchell   via KO/TKO, Overhand Right   1:57 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Alonzo Menifield   defeats   Dustin Jacoby   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Irene Aldana   defeats   Karol Rosa   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Cody Garbrandt   defeats   Brian Kelleher   via KO/TKO, Counter Right   3:42 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Ariane Lipski   defeats   Casey O'Neill   via Submission, Armbar   1:18 Round 2 of 3, 6:18 Total Bout Page
Tagir Ulanbekov   defeats   Cody Durden   via Submission, Rear Naked Choke   4:25 Round 2 of 3, 9:25 Total Bout Page
Andre Fili   defeats   Lucas Almeida   via KO/TKO, Right Hook to Ground Strikes   3:32 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Shamil Gaziev   defeats   Martin Buday   via KO/TKO, Elbows and Punches (standing TKO)   0:56 Round 2 of 3, 5:56 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 31

toanchman
toanchman
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12.15.2023 | 8:09 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 358th

@Quickcobalt 
very fair point. I sure wouldn't mind it either lol. But yes, I don't see how he could enter the limelight to this degree again, especially if he gets finished. I have a hunch that Dana is getting a bit sick of his sht too.

"I be toanchin'"

Dstone
Dstone
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12.15.2023 | 8:19 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 400 Points   |   Tied for 4379th

Ayo *** why is randy vs muslim off ? 

"ZAZAAAAA"

Thesnake101
Thesnake101
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12.15.2023 | 8:42 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 1608th

Randy fell ill.
rappinpapsoda
rappinpapsoda
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12.15.2023 | 8:45 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2813th

That sucks.  Card is still great, though.

"The only thing predictable about MMA is that it is unpredictable."

rappinpapsoda
rappinpapsoda
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12.15.2023 | 8:49 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2813th

Is Holland stepping up or was that just a joke?

"The only thing predictable about MMA is that it is unpredictable."

Thesnake101
Thesnake101
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12.15.2023 | 9:03 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 1608th

Both guys wanted it at 180 but last I heard Luque was still off the card. Think they really want Garry/Luque to happen since that's one of the more winnable fights for Ian within the top 10.
rappinpapsoda
rappinpapsoda
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12.15.2023 | 9:17 AM ET

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2813th

Yes, it wouldn't be the first time they give a fighter a favorable fight.

"The only thing predictable about MMA is that it is unpredictable."

Hyrm
Hyrm
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12.15.2023 | 9:27 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 1608th

Holland is stepping up but UFC stepped down. Now with Brown out I supose Luque-Salikov make sens?

* Edited at 12.15.2023, 9:27 AM ET *

"Never go down without a fight"

GreenTeaEnthusiast
GreenTeaEnthusiast

12.15.2023 | 9:29 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 0 Perfect, 395 Points   |   Tied for 4463rd

Ferguson vs. Pimblett
Paddy Pimblett, SUB, R2
Paddy's going to ******* dogwalk Ferguson. Recently came across the fact that he fought Gordon with a broken foot, which makes it look all the more impressive that he was competitive with him for that long. Not only is Jared Gordon a decent veteran, but a broken foot is a monster to deal with. Especially considering the significance of movement in grappling, and in MMA, generally speaking. I'll easily take the younger, more physical grappler with a chip on his shoulder - who, for the record, seems to have become a little more grounded after his last performance - over the old, washed veteran who's historically struggled with grappling. This will not be competitive.

Emmett vs. Mitchell
Josh Emmett, TKO, R3
It's a big ask, because Emmett hasn't knocked anybody out in years, but power's the last thing to go. Bryce can overwhelm Emmett with high-volume striking and chained wrestling, but it won't amount to much over the course of the fight. I can't see Bryce taking multiple clean Emmett shots in the pocket. Although I'm sure his striking is going to improve a **** ton over the coming years, he's not there yet, and I'm going to trust Josh Emmett to land the hail mary blow that shuts the lights out.

AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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12.15.2023 | 9:56 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 2636th

I imagine ufc also didn’t want to have to pay holland more money than he already has lol. Pretty sure he gets a pay bump for every short notice fight he takes

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

toanchman
toanchman
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12.15.2023 | 10:09 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 5 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 358th

@Zenith 
don't agree with your last sentence, but yes, this card is highly targeted lol that's fine though, that's just business

"I be toanchin'"

foppa420
foppa420
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12.15.2023 | 10:33 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 600 Points   |   Tied for 765th

Friendly reminder that Josh Emmett is the most overrated fighter in the entire promotion by a country mile. 
gliese58i
gliese58i
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12.15.2023 | 10:49 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 3971st

I wish all of the people expressing their belief in Tony would actually bet him so I could get a decent line on Paddy here.

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

snakeinthegrass
snakeinthegrass
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12.15.2023 | 10:59 AM ET

@gliese58i 
There's a difference between what my heart wants and what my brain decides...

Tony will win and then retire from this god awful sport...

If the gods aren't cruel

* Edited at 12.15.2023, 11:00 AM ET *

"“That’s a **** move, bud.” - Beneil Dariush"

tepid55
tepid55
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12.15.2023 | 11:13 AM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 490 Points   |   Tied for 2700th

I hope Leon Edwards ends Colby Covington's career.
Amettxpc
Amettxpc
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12.15.2023 | 11:32 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 11 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 730 Points   |   Tied for 27th with 6 others

Garbrandt vs. Kelleher
Cody Garbrandt, DEC
In my opinion Garbrandt's but against Jones was far about a career comeback, but was an overheated by public opinion at the same time. I ranked this performance as second best at Gameplan and Fight IQ in Cody's UFC Career (ranked above Garbrandt vs. Assunção performance because Jones fights in a Higher Pace and ranked only under the Garbrandt vs. Cruz for well known reasons).

Jones never be dropped in his career by strikes to the head and Cody instead of going out to kill or be killed by throwing right hand to the head, he chose to throw single-power shots to the body (Jones be dropped twice in his UFC Career by body shots) and slipped Jones' attacks in the first round, This Cody's first round offenses open the door to the takedowns and ground dominances in the second round, and in the last round he's only needs to manage the 20-18 scorecards advantage. 
Positive Thinks about the performance: Cody listen to his corners and Coach Cooper make a great strategy for the fight and good advice between rounds.
Negative Thinks about the performance: Cardio don't look good after the first round, be stunned and rocked during Round 3.

About the Garbrandt vs. Kelleher fight: Both fighters have dealing with injuries in the last time and Fighting in a Numbered Card is a good spotlight to come back: Brian Kelleher biggest weapon is his guillotine choke but at the same time that exposed him to be taking down easily and in the ground during his career he's shows a considerable lack of submission defense, he striking looks more slow and predictable in the last time and his winning path relly to much in takedowns and control as his fights against Pillarte (0-2, 1 NC in UFC ) and Croom (0-3, 1 NC in UFC), Obviously Garbrandt has 0 submission wins and probably won't take advantage of Kelleher's poor submission defense like Mario Bautista and Umar Nurmagomedov managed to do. But it seems to me that Cody's Wrestling Background, Powerful Counter Puncher and being the fastest fighter in the matchup will open many options for victory.

KO win by Garbrandt will probably help him gain momentum and regain much of his confidence, but after UFC 285 performance I think Cody will want to fight in a more intelligent and calculated way, avoiding taking too many risks. So a scenario where he looking to wins by unanimous decision mixing his striking with takedown and control time is the most likely.



* Edited at 12.15.2023, 11:33 AM ET *

"Moicano Wants Money!"

gliese58i
gliese58i
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12.15.2023 | 12:05 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 1 Perfect, 425 Points   |   Tied for 3971st

For anyone who's on Wonderboy he's +900 to win by decision. Unless you imagine he wins by finishing Shavkat..

"She’ll go there and smash her. She’ll get a title shot, become a UFC champion. We have a Ronda Rousey on steroids. This is what we have.” - Ali Abdelaziz on Kayla Harrison

foppa420
foppa420
  • Member Since: 2021.05.08
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12.15.2023 | 12:11 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 12 Winners, 4 Perfect, 600 Points   |   Tied for 765th

Not sure I realized Garbrandt and Kelleher is a battle of TRex wingspans. 


AyyLmaonnaise
AyyLmaonnaise
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12.15.2023 | 12:13 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 12 Winners, 2 Perfect, 495 Points   |   Tied for 2636th

Wow Gaziev hit the scales at 259, looked noticeably slimmer (still fat obviously) than dwcs. Good to see he is taking this seriously, maybe his cardio will be better

"“Unfortunately you can’t talk like that on FOX” - Joe Rogan"

Mav58
Mav58
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12.15.2023 | 12:36 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 7 of 12 Winners, 3 Perfect, 440 Points   |   Tied for 3727th

Edwards vs. Covington
Leon Edwards, DEC
Come on Edwards, get this embarrassment to the USA out of the title picture. Please!

Rakhmonov vs. Thompson
Shavkat Rakhmonov, SUB, R3
I realized I'm picking Wonderboy's first sub loss, that's crazy!

Ferguson vs. Pimblett
Paddy Pimblett, DEC
I actually like Paddy but this will still be sad. He said it best, it's a lose-lose situation for himself.

Menifield vs. Jacoby
Dustin Jacoby, DEC
If Jacoby pulls the trigger I think he's got the skill advantage.

Fili vs. Almeida
Andre Fili, DEC
Almeida is fun, I'm excited he's back! But idk how high level he is so Fili might outpoint him here.

Page 31


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